Monday, January 30, 2012

9 Tax Deductions Canadians Often Miss

Does the looming tax deadline have you gritting your teeth? Here's how to get a bigger, better refund.

Does the looming tax deadline have you gritting your teeth? We all have to pay our taxes. And nobody wants to pay too much.

“Unfortunately, people tend to pay more tax than they need to because they do tend to overlook some of the savings they can take advantage of,” said Carol Bezaire, vice-president, tax and estate planning, at Mackenzie Financial.

A deduction is valuable because it reduces your income for tax purposes.

Rack up enough of deductions and you’ll pull yourself down into a lower tax bracket and end up with a big refund, if you’re lucky.

These are worth more to those in higher tax brackets. By contrast, a non-refundable tax credit reduces the amount of taxes owed. The value is the same for everyone. The term “non-refundable” refers to the fact that if the tax credit exceeds the amount of tax payable, you won’t get a refund for the difference.

1. RRSPs: Contributions to Registered Retirement Savings Plans are the mother of all tax deductions. Roughly speaking, you are allowed to contribute up to 18 per cent of your earned income from the previous year, and deduct that amount from your income at tax time.

The government even gives you an extra two months past the end of the previous calendar year to sock that money away. (That’s why January and February are known as RRSP season.) The trick here is that you can carry forward contribution room indefinitely.

You can also carry the deduction forward to use in a year when your income is higher. Check your Notice of Assessment from the Canada Revenue Agency for more details about how much you are allowed to contribute and deduct.

If you carry forward those RRSP contributions to deduct in a future year, keep track of them carefull. This amount will determine how much you can put into your account in the current year.

2. Capital losses: Losses from buying and selling shares in an unregistered account (not your RRSP or your TFSA) can be carried back to any of the previous three years or carried forward indefinitely. These can be applied against capital gains to reduce your total income from investments.]

3. An equivalent-to-spouse-tax-credit: Taxpayers who are single, divorced or separated with children, can be claimed for a child. This non-refundable tax credit is worth $10,527 this year federally. (That’s multiplied by 15 per cent when calculating the final credit, but it’s still far higher than the $4,282 tax credit for a dependent child.)

In the case of a child, the dependent has to be a Canadian, resident, under 18, and financially dependent on you.

4. Child care expenses: These expenses, whether for a nanny or day-care centre, must be claimed by the parent with lower net income in most cases. Allowable expenses are those paid for the care of a child age 6 or under, to enable the parent to work, carry on a business, or go to school.

5. Medical expenses: Claim non-refundable tax credits for medical expenses paid by either you or your spouse or common-law partner.

“People forget to take a look or they assume it’s not eligible,” Bezaire said. But, in fact, any non-reimbursed medical expense can be claimed, including prescription medication, dental surgery that’s not covered by insurance, or laser eye surgery.

Expenses that total more than $2,052 or 3 per cent of net income can be claimed. To make the most of the tax credit, the expenses should be claimed by the person with the lower net income, Bezaire said.

6. Moving expenses: If you moved at least 40 km to be closer to a new job, run a business, or go to school, you may deduct the moving expenses. Eligible expenses include transportation and storage costs, reasonable costs for meals and accommodations, real estate commission, legal fees, and costs related to changing your address, such as replacing your driver’s licence and connecting or disconnecting utilities.

“What many people overlook is that you can claim the cost of moving your children to university or college,” Bezaire said. [More: 10 tax tips to save you money]

7. Carrying charges: This refers to costs incurred in order to earn income on your investments. Fees paid for the management of your investments, other than commissions, are eligible. If you use a safety deposit box for safekeeping your investments, you can claim the cost as a carrying charge.

8. Physical fitness and arts activities for children: Eligible programs must be supervised, appropriate for children and must be at least eight consecutive weeks or five consecutive days long, with at least half of the activities involving a significant amount of physical or artistic activity.

Additional tax credits are available for a child with a disability. The sports programs must build muscular strength, endurance, flexibility and balance. On the arts side, eligible programs can focus on literary, visual or performing arts, music or language.

9. Charitable donations: keep in mind that these donations can be carried forward.

“If you’re doing your housekeeping and find a charity receipt and you say, ‘rats, I didn’t use it’, hang on to it. You can still use it still.

If you have a spouse, pool them and include them on the return of the person who pays the most tax, she added.

 

January 27, 2012 YahooFinance Article by Madhari Acharya-Tom Yew, available online at http://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/9-tax-deductions-canadians-often-miss.html

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Monday, January 30, 2012

CANADA - NOTING THE POSITIVES, BUT ALSO THE RISKS

Economists often get a bad rap for seeing the world as exclusively a glass half empty. Given this reputation, it is not surprising that economics is dubbed the ‘dismal science.’ Still, they are also known to call a spade a spade when they see it. We must do just this when we say that the Canadian economy ended last year on a more positive note than they had last predicted. This momentum represents a solid hand-off into 2012. What’s more, financial markets so far this year have enjoyed the absence of volatility that was the dominant theme for 2011.

 

The latest tracking shows the Canadian economy grew by 2.0-2.5% in the fourth quarter annualized an upside from most banks December forecast. An important part of the story has been Canadian consumers. We saw evidence of this in the retail sales’ numbers for November. They grew month-over-month by 0.3% in real terms and an even stronger 0.5% in nominal terms. With Black Friday and Cyber Monday increasingly becoming important calendar events on this side of the border, retailers were hoping to capitalize on greater mall traffic as consumers stocked up for the holiday season. We will have to wait and see if November’s gain comes at a cost to December. However, data so far suggest that there is an upside risk to our consumer expenditure forecast for the fourth quarter of 2011. The 2012 economic outlook should also be helped by higher consumer and business sentiment.

 

Also this week, the U.S. Federal Reserve injected further monetary stimulus into its economy by telling mar­kets and investors that it plans to keep its interest rates at near-zero levels until late 2014, or eighteen months longer than was previously stated. In the fallout of the announce­ment, U.S. and Canadian bond yields fell across the curve. In terms of currency, the loonie reached parity with the U.S. dollar yesterday for the first time since November 2011.

 

Business investment is expected to be a bright spot in the outlook given the low borrowing conditions and strong currency. The forecast is that Canadians will continue to spend, creating positive pressure for the domestic side of our national forecast. This spending behaviour does not come without repercussions. Canadian households are already posting record debt levels. What’s more, the longer low rates persist, the more difficult it will be to reverse course. If consumers continue to spur heightened real estate activity as well, there could be a larger and steeper correction for the housing market than the 10-15% that has been incorporated into various forecasts over the next few years in certain parts of Canada, but there will be an increase in values in other areas; like Downtown Vancouver and notably commercial real estate in neighbourhoods like Gastown, Chinatown, and the Downtown Eastside Harbour front. Given where this note has ended, perhaps it’s true that economists cannot say sunny and rosy for too long. At the same time, it’s prudent to constantly look for risks, such that there are no surprises if they come to materialize.

 

Excerpt from January 2012 Action Forex article by TD Bank Financial Group, available online at http://www.actionforex.com/analysis/weekly-forex-fundamentals/the-weekly-bottom-line-20120128158365/

 

 


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Friday, January 27, 2012

Is record household debt a problem for home owners?

Continuous bad news about rising Canadian debt has been making headlines for the past few years – and now we’re hearing over and over again that mortgage debt has reached epic proportions.

Is all of this negativity accurate? We decided to find out by asking some credible sources.

The truth about household debt.

It is true: the overall household debt of Canadians is at a record of $1.5 trillion, growing from $147 billion in 1982. Two-thirds of the increase from 1982 - 2010 occurred from 1999 - 2010.
The largest component of debt among households is residential mortgages which account for two-thirds of all household debt.
The debt has kept pace with home prices, and is larger in BC and Ontario than other provinces.
In 2010, residential mortgages represented about 68% of total household debt. This compares to a low of 63% in 1971 and a high of 75% in 1993, during the 1971- 2010 period.
The largest component of debt among households is residential mortgages which account for two-thirds of all household debt. This debt has kept pace with home prices, and is larger in BC and Ontario than other provinces.
In 2010, residential mortgages represented about 68% of total household debt. This compares to a low of 63% in 1971 and a high of 75% in 1993, during the 1971 – 2010 period.

Why have we seen high mortgage debt?
The reasons include:

  • historically low interest rates which allowed households to increase borrowing activity including home equity loans for home improvements, cars and vacations;
  • rising household income and net worth which allowed households to borrow larger amounts
  • financial product innovations (low down payments and longer amortization periods) that let Canadians carry a larger debt load, since they allow for lower monthly payments;
  • rising home prices boost debt since larger amounts must be borrowed; and
  • beginning in 2009, sudden lower income growth as a result of the global economic depression.

Mortgage holders are also typically younger, who have bought their home within five years, and who carry higher mortgage debt than those who have been in their homes longer.

How does mortgage debt compare with other debt?

  • In 2010, residential mortgages represented 58% of total household debt held by chartered banks. Consumer credit accounted for 42%. 
  • Credit cards as a share of household debt held by chartered banks remained constant from 1982 to 2010 at 7% per year.
  • In 2010, the share of personal loans significantly decreased to 10% from 39% ion 1986.
  • In 2010, the share of personal lines of credit increased to a whopping 25% from 3% in 1986 indicating that consumer and credit card debt has considerably outpaced mortgage growth.
  • CMHC s mortgage arrears rate is 0.42%

 

Annual Growth Rates of Canadians’ Debt

Year

Total Household Consumer Debt

Total Household Mortgage Debt

Total Household Debt

1981 - 1990

8.3%

10.7%

10.0%

1991 - 2000

7.2%

5.5%

6.0%

2001 -  2010

9.6%

9.3%

9.4%

 

Excerpt from January 2012 Edition of Realtor Link, Volume 13, Number 01

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Friday, January 27, 2012

Vancouver among world's 'least affordable' housing markets

Vancouver is the world’s second-least affordable major city to buy a house, according to an annual survey of global housing markets.

The Eighth Annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey covers 325 metropolitan markets around the world.

It measures the markets using something called the “median multiple,” which is the median house price divided by gross annual median household income.

The study comes as Canadian banks worry about the state of the market and economists suggest prices could drop by as much as 10 per cent in cities such as Vancouver and Toronto.

Canada was the third most affordable market, behind the United States and Ireland. The markets that were surveyed were Australia, Canada, China (Hong Kong), Ireland, United Kingdom and the United States.

The report suggests the country is actually a very affordable place to own a home. There’s a catch, of course. It depends where you buy. And it’s a big country.

At 10.6 – with prices at $678,500 and incomes at $63,800 - Vancouver comes second only to Hong Kong in the major market category (cities over one million population), which has a rating of 12.6 ($3.1-million median house price, with income at $249,000).

Toronto sits in 18th place ($406,400/$73,600), sandwiched between Boston and Los Angeles with a rating of 5.5.

Montreal is the world’s 23rd least affordable market, with a rating of 5.1 ($281,700/$54,700).

“Canada’s Median Multiple was 3.5, indicating slightly deteriorating housing performance from last year’s 3.4,” the report states.

“All of the 128 affordable markets (having a Median Multiple of 3.0 or below) were in Ireland, Canada and the United States. There were 117 affordable markets in the United States and nine affordable markets in Canada and two affordable markets in Ireland.”

There were no affordable markets in Australia, New Zealand or the United Kingdom.

“The 87 moderately unaffordable markets were divided between the United States (64), Canada (19), Ireland (3) and the United Kingdom (1). There were no moderately unaffordable markets in Australia or New Zealand.”

The report said the world’s least affordable markets all had something in common – “each of the least affordable markets were characterized by more restrictive land-use regulations which materially increases the price of land and makes housing less affordable.”

The most affordable major market in the world was Detroit, with a multiple of 1.4 ($66,500/$48,700).

Over all, Windsor was the most affordable Canadian city of any size, with a ratio of 2.2 ($149,900/ $67,900).

 

January 23, 2012 Globe & Mail Update, available online at http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/economy/housing/vancouver-among-worlds-least-affordable-housing-markets/article2311279/

 

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Monday, January 23, 2012

2012 MARKET FORECAST

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE – From the desk of Amalia Liapis

2012 MARKET FORECAST

As we move forward into 2012, the year of the Dragon, I thought it helpful to review some global activity that will have a measurable effect on our local real estate market.

China’s fourth quarter gross domestic product (GDP) rose 8.9% from a year earlier, beating analysts’ expectations of 8.6% growth. For the full year of 2011, China’s GDP rose by 9.2% compared to a 10.4% rise in 2010. It always amazes me how China can produce statistics so quickly but market analysts are always skeptical on how accurate the data is out of China as there is no way to reliably check the accuracy.

USA reporting season is in full swing for the December quarter and results here will direct US and world markets over the next few weeks. The US still has the world’s largest economy and, while it has slowed, guidance from the corporate world during reporting season will give a better idea of future recovery.  Again the next two weeks will be vital here, but so far so good. Economic data has been better than expected and this has been reflected in the US equities market now at five month highs. This is the year for the Presidential elections, so we can expect to see lots of big promises from both parties that should also help equity markets and real estate activity.

Europe’s financial problems will be with us all during 2012 as there appears no easy fix. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is hoping to raise $500 billion US to help with the European crisis. The US Treasury and some non-euro zone European countries, such as Britain, are reluctant to contribute and this could leave Asian and other developing countries to make up the shortfall.

Greece is trying to work out with its creditors how much they will write off. An agreement of sorts was reached last year as a part of the Greek bailout fund that bond holders would take a “hair cut” of 50%. Now, Greece wants that to be taken out to 68% and could be close to an agreement; however Greek Banks don’t want to be included. No one does, but most will agree if everyone else will. The European Central Bank (ECB) is the largest holder of Greek bonds with a total of around €50 billion ($61.5 billion US). Hedge funds are threatening to sue the Greek Government to make good on bond payments so this issue could hang over any deal made. We could then expect Portugal to be the next to stand up for Portuguese bond holders to also take a “cut,” perhaps then followed by Ireland. If Spain and Italy start looking for a deal then the world economy will be in turmoil for a long time which will have an effect on the stock markets.  During these economic times people start to move their money into other investments and so real estate is an obvious choice. Demand for investment properties will create a momentum in our local market. 

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Friday, January 13, 2012

Real estate on a roll

Regional Roundup: Five-year plan will see about $600 million pumped into Winnipeg's "SHED" zone

 

You can excuse Winnipeggers if they think they've travelled back in time to the turn of the 20th century.

Back then, Winnipeg was one of the fastest growing cities in the country - it peaked at No.3 for population around 1912 - and quickly became known as the "Chicago of the North" due to the seemingly endless flurry of growth and activity.

The flurry, of course, eventually fizzled and the Manitoba capital lost its momentum to cities such as Calgary, Edmonton and Ottawa. Sure, it has long been a major center in Canada, but it lacked the spark of yesteryear.

That was then, however, and this is now.

There's a new attitude in Winnipeg but it's not just lip service - it's being backed up by investment and action. 

Much has been made in recent months about the return of the Winnipeg Jets to the city and the pending arrival of IKEA in late 2012.  While there's no questioning their impact and high profile, these two developments are hardy operating in isolation.

Wrecking balls are poised to kick-start what could be the most significant overhaul of the downtown in Winnipeg's history. Dubbed the sports, hospitality, and entertainment district, or SHED, this five-year plan to spend upward of $600 million is poised to revitalize an 11-block area that incluedes the MTS Centre, home of the Jets, the Winnipeg Convention Centre and the Metropolitian and Burton Cummings theatres.

Shortly after a pair of old building on Portage Avenue across from the MTS Centre are demolisted ealry in the new year, consrtuction will begin  on a multi-use facility featuring five storeys of retail and office space, topped by a 14-storey hotel with 154 roooms.

Cindy Rodych, vice pressident at Stantec, the architect of record for the SHED, said a key part of the development will be the transformation of a surface parking lot in-between the MTS Centre and the convention centre. She said much of the SHED is shaped like a doughnut and this lot is the doughnut hole.

 

Destination

"Something has to happen on this site. A SHED isn't and can't just be a district; it has to be a destination. What has been proposed in the master plan is a destination element for the public, active, vibrant, urban and an entertainment-focused area, " she said.

Rodych said the hope is that the area will ultimately resemble the intersection of Dundas and Yonge streets in Toronto.

Much of the anticipated success for the SHED is contingent on downtown Winnipeg attracting more workers - say another 1,000 - during the day. Rodych said with Stantec moving between 200 and 300 staff into its new headquarters for the first SHED project, she doesn't see this being a problem.

This new activity and more is translating into a healthy real esate market for the city, experts say.

Retail vacancy rates are currently sittting around 3.5 per cent, after being as high as 5 per cent over the last decade. They're even lower right now in the power centre sector at 0.7 per cent.

Office vacancy rates are on the upswing at 6.9 per cent, a rise from 4 per cent a few years ago, thanks primarily to the contraction of Manitoba Hydrp's new downtown office tower a couple of years ago. The addition of the nearly 700,000-square-foot building has caused a bit of a glut in the market.

"When you add  that much space to the market and pull all their occupancies from other areas in the city, you create an articial high on vacancy. That will smooth out over time as absorption occurs," said John Pearson a commercial leasing specialist with Shindico Realty Inc.

Industrical vacancy rates, meanwhile are hovering in the 5 per cent to 7 per cent range.

 

New stadium

Despite the relative lack of activity in Winnipeg's industrial market, there is no question that it's the dominant force in the city's commerical real estate sector. There is approximately 70 million square feet of industrial space in Winnipeg compared with just 15 million square feet in each of the retail and office markets. 

Pearson said a combination of positive factors, including the new air terminal building and the excitement surrounding the hockey team, is attracting investment in the downtown area for reaurants, hotels, and offices.

The construction of a new stadium at the University of Manitoba for the CFL's Winnipeg Blue Bombers, which is scheduled to oepn next spring, has also created a substantial investment opportunity for the continued redevelopment of the area north of Polo Park Shopping Centre. That's where the old Winnipeg Arean was demolished several years ago and whether the antiquated Canad Inns Stadium hosted its last football game a few weeks ago. The football staduim is scheduled to be torn down next spring.

Wayne Pratt, managing director of the Winnipeg office of Colliers International, said there is regular sales and leasing activity occuring across all real estate sectors and the outlook for the supply and demand balance is good.

He said rents are going to have to increase, however, in order for any construction cranes to appear on the skyline.

 

Article taken from January 2012 Edition of Western Investor (www.westerninvestor.com)

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Friday, January 13, 2012

Buy, rent, sell, and profit

Investing 101 Novice investors took plunge on becoming landlords in small-town British Columbia

 

Investors: Professional working couple

Investment: Rental condo

Strategy: Buy, rent out, sell

Time frame: 4 years

Bought for: $50,000

Rented for: $400 per month

Sold for: $85,000

 

First time investing can feel a little intimidating in the beginning. As a young professional couple, we questioned whether investing was a smart idea at all. 

We worried about risking our savings and taking out another mortgage. If we had extra finances, why not use it to pay down our current mortgage? We were concerned about finding the right property to invest in. How far would we need to travel to get something in our price range? How would we know if we were getting a good deal? Then we knew we'd have the ordeal of finding good tenants and maintaining a property from afar. With both of us being academics, rather than handy or businesslike, these were real concerns.

Yet , we saw that real estate had the potential of bringing in a better return on our investment than did our measly 2.5 per cent "high-interest" savings account. WE could keep a property short term and bring in a chunk of money to apply to our next real estate purchase or another investment.

 

Where to start?

To start, you need to decide what to invest in and how much moeny you want to put into it. In our case, as people who generally avoid risk, we decided on finding something we could afford, where the rent would pretty much pay for the mortgage. For us to feel secure, that meant looking for out-of-town older residential apartments.

 

Finding a property

Finding an area was our first challenge. We looked at small towns with properties in our price range, and tried to locate places where big companies were moving to, growth was projected and residential vacancy rates were low. We choose Kimberley, B.C., which had opened a ski resort and had an airport close by. The only problem.... it was 12 hours away.

This meant we had to get pre-approved with a good mortgage broker who could act from afar if necessary. We also had to check out what had been selling, what the average prices where and what units were renting. And finding a good realtor was essential. We phoned and emailed a couple before settling on one we believed we could trust. By the time we visited, we were in good position to view suites of interest to us and make offers on any good deals we saw.

We wasted some time getting distracted by nicer places rather than what we could afford. On the other hand, it was still important to do the work to find a unit that would be easy to rent at decent rate. So, we spent a lot of time understanding the area, looking for an accessible building with a great location and amneties nearby. After viewing several units, we found the one we wanted to make an offer on. We made sure to do our due diligence: read the strata minutes, walked the suites, got a home inspector in, talked to neighbours and collected as much information as we could. Eventually, we bought a 600- square foot condo on the ground floor of a low-rise building, which was walking distance to town centre and a short drive from the ski hill.

 

Expenses

We were surprised by all the costs we hadn't anticipated with our investment property. In the end, the rent we received did not cover our costs and we had to subsidize it by about $100 per month when the suite was rented, and $500 when it was not. Think about how much you are able to put into this at the beginning and throughout. At the outset, consider not only the down payment, mortgage and legal fees, but any potential upgrades you may require to attract a higher rent. On an ongoing basis, remember you'll need to cover strata fees, maintenance, insurance, property taxes (with no homeowner's grant). Also, we found city utilities in a small town astronomical compared with our residence in the city. In addition, don't forget to set aside money for emergencies - months when your unit sits vacant when a tenant bails, replacing appliances, or special levies. And don't forget about capital gains tax when you sell.

 

Tenants

To attact a good rental income, you want to make your apartment as appealing as possible to tenants. This can mean getting it properly cleaned, painted and perhaps replacing cupboards or appliances that our outdated to give your suite an edge over others in the building. We lucked out by finding a relaiable person to check our suite between tenants, and a good affordable painter. 

Although we could have directly managed the tenants, we decided to get some help as we were so far away. During the four years we owned the suite, we had three different rental experiences - a rental pool and two different proerpty managers. In the rental pool, several units pooled their rents together and then split it proportionally (by square feet),  regardless of whether units were rented or not. This allowed for a regular income stream, but in the end felt frustrating to those whose units were always rented.

 

Management

Finally, we found an excellent solution - an independent property manager. He charged us 10 per cent of the rent, but found us a tenant who never left. He also had excellent relationships with service providers, including a plumber, electrician and carpenter, so repairs could be quickly handled. Having the property manager gave us the peace of mind that our property was being looked after. 

Our strata also voted on being able to communicate and vote electronically if necessary. Above all, we found that one of the best methods to ensure that our unit was looked after was to show extra apprecaition to everyone involved.

 

Cashing out

In the end, no matter how pleasant your situation is, you are still looking to make money on your investment. For us, as we saw prices rising, we allowed our place to sit vacant, got it repainted again and put it on the market. After four years, we decided it was time to liquidate our investment property. We made quite a good profit, something that never could have happened in four years with a savings account.

Overall, buying and selling our first investment property was a scary but exhilarating process. This experience gave us the confidence that we can buy and sell real estate. In the end, we made a chunk of moeny we never would have if we didn't take the risk, and look forward to taking the plunge again.

 

Article taken from January 2012 Edition of Western Investor (www.westerninvestor.com)

 

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Wednesday, December 28, 2011

New Executive Assistant to Amalia Liapis

Wesellvancouver.ca is pleased to annouce the addition of a new employee to its team. Catherine Shaffer will be joining in the role of executive assistant to Amalia Liapis and will be working out of the Yaletown office. 

Any general inquiries and non-urgent requests for Amalia can now be directed to Catherine at catherine@wesellvancouver.ca.

Please join us in welcoming her on board!

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Tuesday, October 25, 2011

Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement

As was universally anticipated, the Bank of Canada opted to hold its target overnight rate at 1 per cent this morning. Ongoing uncertainty in the Euro-zone continues to weigh heavily on the Bank's outlook. In its statement accompanying the interest rate decision, it was noted that the bank is now projecting a contained Euro-crisis, but also a brief recession in the Euro-area due to ongoing deleveraging and fiscal austerity. The Bank also expects continued weakness, but no recession, in the United States through the first half of 2012 before a resumption of stronger growth. Given various challenges in the global economy, the Bank of Canada trimmed its outlook for Canadian economic growth to 2.1 per cent in 2011, 1.9 per cent in 2012 and 2.9 per cent in 2013 which is in line with our own forecast. On inflation, the Bank now expects slack in the economy to persist longer than originally forecast, leading to a closing of the output gap at the end of 2013. This implies softer than expected inflation in coming quarters, with consumer price growth moderating before returning to the Bank's 2 per cent target by the end of 2013.
 
Overall, this morning's statement shows a very cautious Bank of Canada that is unlikely to make any significant movements on interest rates over the next two to three quarters. Further monetary tightening will be highly contingent on a brighter growth outlook in the United States and a credible solution to the Euro sovereign debt crisis. Therefore we expect the Bank of Canada to remain on the sidelines through the end of 2011 and the first half of 2012.
 
Cameron Muir
BCREA, Chief Economist
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Tuesday, October 11, 2011

Transition Period for HST

The Province has announced that it will reinstate the combined 12 per cent PST and GST tax system, a process it expects to take a minimum of 18 months. The Ministry of Finance has established an action plan to guide the transition to the PST. This includes:
 
  • a process to develop HST transition rules; and
  • a process to develop legislation and regulations to re-implement the PST.
 
The anticipated target date for the switchover is March 31, 2013. "During the transition period, the provincial portion of the HST will remain in place at seven per cent," explains Finance Minister Kevin Falcon. "The PST will be reinstated at seven per cent with all permanent PST exemptions and will not be applied to items such as restaurant meals, haircuts, bikes and gym memberships – just as it was before the HST was introduced in BC," says Minister Falcon.
 

Businesses collecting the PST will need to change their electronic and manual systems and processes to assess, collect, report and remit the PST and other related taxes to the provincial government.

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Monday, August 22, 2011

Economic Momentum is Cooling

In a rare event, both Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney and Finance Minister Jim Flaherty were called to testify on the state of the Canadian economy in front of the Commons Finance Committee this morning. The meeting was called because policymakers are concerned over recent market turbulence, and weak global economic data. Recessionary fears have reared their ugly head once again.

Indeed, as pointed out by both policymakers today, Canadian economic growth is headed for a slowdown. A bout of weak domestic and international spending suggests that Canadian real GDP posted no growth in the second quarter. In fact, this week’s release of June real manufacturing (-1.6%) and wholesale trade (-0.7%) increases the risk that it could easily dip into negative territory. The economic data heading into the third quarter have been equally disappointing. Softening consumer confidence appears to be weighing on household purchases of big-ticket items.

And, this was all before the recent market gyrations in August. In view of recent events, Governor Mark Carney suggested that the Bank of Canada will downgrade their economic outlook somewhat, but is confident that economic growth will accelerate in the second half of 2011. Nonetheless, the number of international headwinds outlined in July’s monetary policy are starting to “blow harder”.

Today’s testimony also provided the two policymakers an opportunity to comment on what policy actions will be needed to support the economy. Both the Bank of Canada Governor, and Finance Minister highlighted that recent market turmoil is being driven by a loss in confidence in the ability of advanced economies to manage their government debt. As such, fiscal responsibility among governments (and households) is very important at this time. Minister Flaherty indicated that they are likely to stay the course with the 2011 budget plan which aims to balance the books by fiscal 2014-15. However, should a recession strike they would take measures to support jobs and the business sector.

Meanwhile, Governor Mark Carney’s testimony did not reveal a significant shift in monetary policy either. The Governor’s comments certainly were slightly more dovish than the communiqué in July when the Bank stated that monetary stimulus would start to be withdrawn conditional on an improvement in economic growth and the easing of international risks. At the same time he was not dovish enough to suggest that the Bank will resort to rate cuts, as is currently being priced into markets. The Governor stated that the course of monetary policy will change only if the inflation and growth outlook were to change materially. We take this to mean that the Bank of Canada may be on hold longer than markets were anticipating back in July, but a rate cut is not likely.

Overall, Governor Mark Carney’s comments do not alter our view on the future course of monetary policy. As outlined in this month’s issue of Global Markets – released on Wednesday – we are of the view that the growing number of economic and financial risks, in combination with our expectations for Canadian economic growth to remain sub- 2.0% for the remainder of 2011, will keep the central bank on the sidelines until July of 2012. Because many of the international risks are medium-term in nature, and economic growth is expected to remain modest through 2013 we expect a very gradual pace of monetary tightening thereafter. We forecast for the overnight rate to reach 2.00% by the end of 2012, and 3.00% by the end of 2013. In other words, expect interest rates to remain low for an extended period of time.

 

source: Diana Petramala

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Friday, August 5, 2011

July Market Stats for Vancouver Housing

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE – From the Desk of AMALIA LIAPIS

While the balance between home buyer and seller activity remains in an equilibrium range in the Greater Vancouver housing market, last month’s home sale total was below the 10-year average for July.

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver reports that residential property sales of detached, attached and apartment properties on the region’s Multiple Listing Service reached 2,571 in July, a 14 per cent increase compared to the 2,255 sales in July 2010 and a 21.2 per cent decline compared to the 3,262 sales in June 2011.

We’re seeing less multiple offer situations in the market today compared to the last few months, but homes priced competitively continue to sell at a relatively swift pace.  It’s taking, on average, 41 days to sell a property in the region, which is unchanged from June of this year.

New listings for detached, attached and apartment properties in Greater Vancouver totalled 5,097 in July. This represents a 23.2 per cent increase compared to July 2010 when 4,138 properties were listed for sale on the MLS and a 12 per cent decline compared to the 5,793 new listings reported in June 2011.

Last month’s new listing total was 8.6 per cent higher than the 10-year average for July, while residential sales were 17.3 per cent below the ten-year average for sales in July. At 15,226, the total number of residential property listings on the MLS increased 0.8 per cent in July compared to last month and declined 7.3 per cent from this time last year.

The number of homes listed for sale in the region has increased each month since the start of the year, which is giving buyers more selection to choose from and more time to make decisions. The MLSLink Housing Price Index benchmark price for all residential properties in Greater Vancouver over the last 12 months has increased 9.2 per cent to $630,251 in July 2011 from $577,074 in July 2010.

Sales of detached properties on the MLS in July 2011 reached 1,099, an increase of 21 per cent from the 908 detached sales recorded in July 2010, and a 31.9 percent decrease from the 1,614 units sold in July 2009. The benchmark price for detached properties increased 13.3 per cent from July 2010 to $898,886.

Sales of apartment properties reached 1,040 in July 2011, a 6.2 per cent increase compared to the 979 sales in July 2010, and a decrease of 39.1 per cent compared to the 1,708 sales in July 2009. The benchmark price of an apartment property increased 4.5 per cent from July 2010 to $405,306.
Attached property sales in July 2011 totalled 432, a 17.4 per cent increase compared to the 368 sales in July 2010, and a 45.5 per cent decrease from the 792 attached properties sold in July 2009. The benchmark price of an attached unit increased 6.9 per cent between July 2010 and 2011 to $524,909.
 

Moving forward to our Fall market, I expect an increase in housing/land prices and a stable condo/townhome market. The exception will be view properties, which will see a significant spike in demand and pricing in an increasingly competitive market.

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Friday, July 22, 2011

Interest Rates Likely to Remain Low

Canadian markets didn’t get much of a summer vacation this week, as negotiations on the Greek bailout package took centre stage globally, while the Bank of Canada’s interest rate decision was the main event at home. On balance, an agreement on a second Greece bailout, combined with some positive corporate earnings reports, improved market sentiment and helped equity markets rally. A more hawkish-than-expected statement from the Bank of Canada (BoC) added fuel, initially taking bond yields higher, and the Canadian dollar along with them. After a benign inflation report for June on Friday, however, these moves were partially unwound.

As expected, the BoC left interest rates unchanged, but the accompanying statement was more hawkish than anticipated. The Bank dropped the word “eventually” from the statement “some of the considerable monetary policy stimulus currently in place will be [eventually] withdrawn”, leading markets to move up their timetable on rate hikes. However, Wednesday’s Monetary Policy Report (MPR), included two technical boxes that emphasized the case for leaving rates lower for longer. One explained how interest rates can remain stimulative even after inflation has reached its target and the output gap is closed. This occurs if the economy is facing significant headwinds, such as a persistent reduction in foreign demand for exports. Governor Carney reiterated that monetary policy is not some mechanical process whereby you input expected inflation and the output gap, and out comes a rate decision (in fact if that were the case, he wouldn’t have a job). Rather, the Bank takes into account what he characterized as “the very real headwinds from the dollar, the U.S., from Europe”. This is likely in response to some critics who argue the bank is at risk of getting behind the curve on inflation.
 
The other technical box in the MPR underscored the damaging effects of a strong Canadian dollar on some sectors of the economy, expanding on the responses in last week’s Business Outlook Survey. Nearly half of firms surveyed reported adverse impacts from a stronger dollar, and these firms tended to be less optimistic about their future prospects. Adverse effects were more common among manufacturers, and firms based in Central or Eastern Canada. In sum, the survey showed that headwinds from a strong C$, and continued softness in U.S. demand are constraining sales prospects over the next 12 months for firms not benefitting from high commodity prices.
 
The Bank is clearly focused on the danger of hiking prematurely, and then having one of these risks worsen. It would be very difficult to raise rates before January, because in all probability they would want data on how Q3 evolved, and confirmation of firmer U.S. demand. Friday’s release of Canadian CPI and retail sales reports showed there is little urgency for the Bank to restart rate hikes. June inflation came in softer-than-expected, and retail sales were flat in real terms, confirming that there is little scope for retailers to raise prices with debt-fatigued consumers reining in spending. All told, our expectation for the Bank to delay resuming rate hikes until January remains in tact.
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Thursday, July 21, 2011

14.8% Drop in Vancouver House Prices Predicted

On July 13, Economics issued a report predicting a 10.2% decrease in the housing market over the next two years.

The economists specifically focused on Vancouver and Toronto saying that they will experience an even larger decrease ...with a whopping  drop of 14.8 % for Vancouver.
 
Among the twelve major markets profiled in this report, Vancouver and Toronto look poised for larger-than-average declines over the next few years, reflecting in part their exposure to the condominium segment, which appears particularly ripe for a correction.
 
The rationale for this prediction is ...

 
A combination of more subdued job and household income growth, rising interest rates, the recent tightening in borrowing rules for insured mortgages and fewer first time home buyers are expected to be the chief culprits behind the slowdown. With most of these drivers expected to remain supportive to housing demand in the very near term, we anticipate that the brunt of this adjustment will take place in 2012 and into 2013.
 
A section of the report focused specifically on Vancouver with the title reading:
 

VANCOUVER - THE HOUSING MARKET THAT HAS ALL EYES WATCHING


 
With Vancouver consistently making all the Top 10 best city lists, it is little wonder that our housing prices are amongst the highest in Canada.
 
The predictions focus on the higher than average housing prices, condos and foreign investment factors that have driven the prices up.
 
Vancouver has been the poster child for those individuals worried about a real estate bubble here in Canada. We expect that Vancouver will post modest economic growth accompanied by subdued job and income gains. Interest rate hikes will be felt in Vancouver likely more than other places due to the fact that household debt levels are the highest across the country.
 
With this economic climate, we foresee a 25.4% peak to- trough decline in sales and 14.8% in prices over 2012-13, by far the worst fate of any urban centre. Still, the path to correction will likely transpire over seven to eight quarters. What's more, just as some of the recent increase has reflected a shift in the composition in sales towards higher priced homes, normalization in the sales mix going forward will disproportionately weigh on average prices. At the expected through in 2013, the average resale price is expected to sit at $675,000 - nearly double the national number and that of most other urban centres.
 
I hope you find this information beneficial! Please feel free to call me any time.
 
Regards
 
Amalia Liapis
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Thursday, July 14, 2011

Summer housing market trends

VANCOUVER, B.C. – July 5, 2011 - Home sellers outpaced buyers on Greater Vancouver’s Multiple Listings Service® (MLS®) in June, drawing the market back toward balance this summer. The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential property sales of detached, attached and apartment properties reached 3,262 in June, a 9.8 per cent increase compared to the 2,972 sales in June 2010 and a 3.4 per cent decline compared to the 3,377 sales in May 2011.

New listings for detached, attached and apartment properties in Greater Vancouver totalled 5,793 in June. This represents a 4.5 per cent increase compared to June 2010 when 5,544 properties were listed for sale on the MLS® and a 2.3 per cent decline compared to the 5,931 new listings reported in May 2011.

Last month’s new listing total was 9.8 per cent higher than the 10-year average for June, while residential sales were 7.3 per cent below the ten-year average for sales in June. “With sales below the 10-year average and home listings above what’s typical for the month, activity in June brought closer alignment between supply and demand in our marketplace,” Rosario Setticasi, REBGV president said. “With a sales-to-active-listings ratio of nearly 22 per cent, it looks like we’re in the upper end of a balanced market.” At 15,106, the total number of residential property listings on the MLS® increased 3.1 per cent in June compared to last month and declined 14 per cent from this time last year.
 
The MLSLink® Housing Price Index (HPI) benchmark price for all residential properties in Greater Vancouver over the last 12 months has increased 8.7 per cent to $630,921 in June 2011 from $580,237 in June 2010. “The largest price increases continue to be in the detached home market on the westside of Vancouver and in West Vancouver,” Setticasi said. Since the end of May, the benchmark price of a detached home rose more than $147,000 on the westside of Vancouver and over $80,000 in West Vancouver. Detached home prices in Richmond, however, levelled off slightly, declining $25,000 in June.” Sales of detached properties on the MLS® in June 2011 reached 1,471, an increase of 29.1 per cent from the 1,139 detached sales recorded in June 2010, and an 11.8 per cent decrease from the 1,667 units sold in June 2009. The benchmark price for detached properties increased 13.4 per cent from June 2010 to $901,680.

Sales of apartment properties reached 1,266 in June 2011, a 0.6 per cent increase compared to the 1,258 sales in June 2010, and a decrease of 29.3 per cent compared to the 1,790 sales in June 2009. The benchmark price of an apartment property increased 3.5 per cent from June 2010 to $405,200.
Attached property sales in June 2011 totalled 525, an 8.7 per cent decrease compared to the 575 sales in June 2010, and a 34.5 per cent decrease from the 802 attached properties sold in June 2009. The benchmark price of an attached unit increased 6 per cent between June 2010 and 2011 to $522,424.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2011

Homeowner Tips

Exterior Renovations:


If you’re thinking of selling your home, or you simply want to spruce it up, exterior renovations can significantly increase its value and curb appeal. Aside from more expensive undertakings such as new roofing and siding, there are some projects you can take on yourself, such as creating attractive flower beds or purchasing a new front door. With each project completion, you will be happier with your home, and increase its appeal to buyers when it comes time to sell!
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Monday, June 20, 2011

Changes the MLS Areas/Boundaries

There are a few recent changes (June 16, 2011) to the MLS Areas/Boundaries of which people should be aware.
 
New sub-area boundaries have been implemented for the False Creek area of Downtown Vancouver. What was previously termed "False Creek North" will find itself under the new heading of "Yaletown".
 
The original "False Creek" boundaries have been expanded to cover the area at and around the Olympic village site.
 

These changes can be viewed by clicking here.

 
It is good to see Yaletown has received its own classification within the MLS system - it is a distinctive neighbourhood in Downtown Vancouver. I expect to see similar changes for other areas soon (Gastown).
 
If you are running your own searches, please remember to use the new categories. If you receive automatic listing searches via email from Amalia Liapis or use the preconfigured searches on this website, the criteria have already been adjusted.
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Friday, June 3, 2011

Housing Market Spring Activity in April

VANCOUVER, B.C. – Vancouver saw a typical, solid month of residential home sales on the MultipleListing Service in April, in contrast to the near record pace witnessed in the two preceding months.
 
The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver reports that residential property sales of detached, attached and apartment properties in Greater Vancouver reached 3,225 in April 2011, an 8.2 per cent decrease compared to the 3,512 sales in April 2010 and a 21 per cent decline compared to the 4,080 sales in March 2011.
 
Looking back further, last month’s residential sales represent an 8.8 per cent increase over the 2,963 residential sales in April 2009, relatively unchanged compared to April 2008, and a 4.8 per cent decline compared to the 3,387 sales in April 2007.
 
While it continues to be a seller’s market (Detached) in Greater Vancouver, last month’s activity brought greater balance between supply and demand in the overall marketplace,the REBGV president said. The year-over-year decline in April sales can be attributed to a less active condominium market on our MLS, as there were more detached and townhome sales this April compared to last year.
 
New listings for detached, attached and apartment properties in Greater Vancouver totalled 5,847 in April 2011. This represents a 23.5 per cent decline compared to April 2010 when 7,648 properties were listed for sale on the MLS, which was an all-time record for April. Compared to March 2011, last month’s new listings total registered a 14 per cent decline.
 
At 14,187, the total number of residential property listings on the MLS increased 8.2 per cent in April compared to last month and declined 10 per cent from this time last year.
 
There’s considerable variation in activity within the communities in our region. This is causing home price trends to differ depending on the area.
 
The MLSLink Housing Price Index (HPI) benchmark price for all residential properties in Greater Vancouver over the last 12 months has increased 5 per cent to $622,991 in April 2011 from $593,419 in April 2010.
 
Sales of detached properties on the MLS in April 2011 reached 1,402, an increase of 2.3 per cent from the 1,370 detached sales recorded in April 2010, and a 17.8 per cent increase from the 1,190 units sold in April 2009. The benchmark price for detached properties increased 7.4 per cent from April 2010 to $879,039.
 
Sales of apartment properties reached 1,201 in April 2011, a 21.3 per cent decrease compared to the 1,526 sales in April 2010, and an increase of 1.9 per cent compared to the 1,179 sales in April 2009. The benchmark price of an apartment property Sales of apartment properties reached 1,201 in April 2011, a 21.3 per cent decrease compared to the 1,526 sales in April 2010, and an increase of 1.9 per cent compared to the 1,179 sales in April 2009. The benchmark price of an apartment property increased 2.9 per cent from April 2010 to $409,242.
 

Attached property sales in April 2011 totalled 622, a 1 per cent increase compared to the 616 sales in April 2010, and a 4.7 per cent increase from the 594 attached properties sold in April 2009. The benchmark price of an attached unit increased 2.4 per cent between April 2010 and 2011 to $514,670.

In the coming Summer months we should continue to see the strong activity of Westside Detached homes. I believe we will see a strong increase of activity in Apartments and Townhomes. For those who are considering a purchase in this sector of the market…now is a good time to buy.
 
As always I am available for your questions.
 

Warmest cheers!

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Monday, May 9, 2011

Commercial property owners across Metro Vancouver typically pay a far larger share of property taxes

In the City of Vancouver, the situation had reached the point where eight per cent of all properties (commercial) paid more than 50 per cent of the property taxes, explains Bob Laurie, cochair of the Vancouver Fair Tax Coalition (VFTC).

 
In 2009, the VFTC successfully convinced Vancouver City Council to approve a one per cent tax shift to residential properties from non-residential properties.
 
Since then, the City of Vancouver has shifted property tax by one per cent each year to residential from commercial, a gradual correction of the long-standing inequity. Laurie estimates savings for Vancouver businesses include:
 
- a tax reduction of $155 for a business property valued at $783,000; and
- a collective saving of more than $5.5 million each year.
 
Attracting investment, jobs and workers
To attract investment, local governments throughout the Real Estate Board area are rezoning to create denser, walkable, lively urban hubs close to transit.
 
Who are they trying to attract? Talented younger adults ages 25 – 29 and known as the Millennials, who are well-educated and highly skilled, and much-needed in our knowledge-based economy.
 
"It’s part of the shift in our local labour market as baby-boomers age and retire," says Andrew Ramlo, Executive Director at Urban Futures Inc. And they're having a significant effect on the future prosperity of our communities.
 
Where do the Millennials want to live? “Downtown,” says Ramlo.
 
To attract and retain the Millennials, cities throughout the Lower Mainland are rethinking former approaches to planning for economic development.

What Millennials like most, explains Ramlo are higher density, mixed use, walkable, green, lively neighbourhoods with businesses, restaurants, transit and parks just steps away.
 
A closer look at the downtown area of Vancouver reveals the effect of the Millennials - even taking into account that between 15 and 20 per cent of buyers in the downtown area are retirees and empty nesters who have sold larger properties and are moving back downtown.
 
What happens as downtown residents age? After age 35, when babies have grown to toddlers, they are more likely to move to suburban locations, according to Ramlo, but they also still want their neighbourhoods to have a vibrant urban feel and be walkable, interesting and attractive.
 
A tale of two downtowns – it goes both ways
- No. of workers who live in Richmond and work in Vancouver: 18,530
- No. of workers who live in Vancouver and work in Richmond: 22,880
 
Urban workplace = recruiting tool
What happens when a company wants to move downtown, but the neighbourhood is faded – the opposite of the urban vibrancy so popular with the Millenials?
 
Some companies like Telus create their own neighbourhood. Although the zoning still requires approval, Telus plans to relocate its national headquarters downtown in a one million square foot, $750 million project that will revitalize a fading block of prime real estate bordered by Georgia, Robson, Seymour and Richards Streets.
 
The proposed Telus Garden will include:
 
- 500,000 square feet of new office space in a 22-storey tower for multiple tenants built to the new 2009 Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED) Platinum standard; and
- 500 new residential units in a 44-storey tower, built to the LEED Gold standard which will be one of the highest buildings in Vancouver and include retail and a wellness centre with a meditation room.
 
"Our vision is a beautiful and unique location where leading-edge technology, urban living, environmental sustainability and tomorrow’s work styles are integrated into a vibrant community”, says Darren Entwistle, TELUS president and CEO.
 
The development will consume 30 per cent less energy, making Telus a significant contributor to Vancouver's goal of becoming the greenest city in the world.
 
It will also feature 10,000 square feet of green roofs providing organic produce for local restaurants, two elevated roof forests, British Columbia artwork, LED lighting projecting programmable coloured images onto glass, and media walls where cultural events such as symphony concerts can be broadcast.
 
The project’s construction will inject a much-needed hundreds of millions of dollars into our local economy and create three million person-hours of employment during construction, scheduled to begin this fall and be complete in 2015, according to Entwistle.
 
Once occupied, the site's business and residential tenants will contribute up to $10 million annually in new tax revenue to the city.
 

With more than 100 restaurants, the seawall, an aquatic centre and upscale retail shops and groceries within blocks, it’s clear Telus has made talent attraction and retention a key part of its business strategy.

 

source: Realty Link in print.

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Wednesday, May 4, 2011

Congratulations! Top 100 Western Canada!

April 29, 2011 
 
Dear Amalia,
 
On behalf of RE/MAX of Western Canada, I would like to congratulate you on your outstanding individual performance on completed transactions for the month of September.
 
We appreciate the hard work and dedication to your clients. Sales Associates like yourself add to our image and give meaning to our trademark "RE/MAX. Outstanding Agents. Outstanding Results".
 
Wishing you continued success for 2011.
 
Yours sincerely,
 
RE/MAX of Western Canada (1998), LLC
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